Forecasting spatial, socioeconomic and demographic variation in COVID-19 health care demand in England and Wales
OPEN BMC medicine | 1 Jul 2020
MD Verhagen, DM Brazel, JB Dowd, I Kashnitsky and MC Mills
COVID-19 poses one of the most profound public health crises for a hundred years. As of mid-May 2020, across the world, almost 300,000 deaths and over 4 million confirmed cases were registered. Reaching over 30,000 deaths by early May, the UK had the highest number of recorded deaths in Europe, second in the world only to the USA. Hospitalization and death from COVID-19 have been linked to demographic and socioeconomic variation. Since this varies strongly by location, there is an urgent need to analyse the mismatch between health care demand and supply at the local level. As lockdown measures ease, reinfection may vary by area, necessitating a real-time tool for local and regional authorities to anticipate demand.
* Data courtesy of Altmetric.com